Investment Markets Overview — W/E 27th November 2015

Black Friday” is the politically incorrect term given to the post US thanksgiving shopping day, allegedly dating from 1961, although the term can be traced back to the financial crisis of 1869. As the first day after the last major US holiday before Christmas, it marks the unofficial beginning of the Christmas shopping season with an increased scrutiny of the levels of business completed. It’s a bell-whether barometer to the health of the economy, as consumption represents about two-thirds of economic growth for the major economies, hence it’s handy that the day has spread to the UK, Europe and parts of Asia over the past couple of years in analytical terms. Although it’s too early to make a full judgement, there is an obvious trend towards more online shopping at the cost of the “high street” amid great debate about the front-loading of what used to be the Christmas boom and January sales. Either way the initial readings for both sides of the pond are for higher online sales once again but with over-all business lower that last year. Readers of this column, which includes persuasive pictorial evidence and socionomic input, will not be surprised by the weakening retail sector.

27 Nov 2015

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Additional Commentaries:
•US economic data . . .
•Euro-Zone . . .
•The UK . . .
•Out East . . .
•The $US index . . .
•Within the commodities complex . . .
•Economic data due next week includes . . .

 The 2015 United Nations Climate Change Conference kicks off in Paris, France, next week for its 21st annual session ……

Charts:
1.  Indices Weekly
2. US House Sales and Price V US GDP
3. UK GDP V Consumer Confidence
4. Singapore GDP V  CPI and Commodity Prices
5. Commodity YTD  Moves

Table:

13 Indices, 11 columns of detailed information, for accurate analysis

“The Blind leading the blind or Blind-man’s Bluff.

Click Here to view Details of the full version of this Newsletter which includes full text and detailed

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